2008 NCAAF Week One - Appalachian State at LSU Odds and Pick

by BetUS Staff

Saturday, August 30


BetUS Sportsbook customers will be in for a special treat if they are able to catch the season lid-lifter in Baton Rouge, taking place between last year's national champions, as the LSU Tigers (12-2 SU, 5-7-2 ATS in 2007) play host to the Mountaineers of Appalachian State (13-2 in 2007). The game is set for Saturday, August 30 at Tiger Stadium (natural turf).

BetUS NCAA Football Betting Odds: LSU -23

Here are some of the NCAA college football betting trends as they relate to this matchup:

* LSU has won 19 of its last 21 games SU

* LSU is 2-7-2 ATS in its last 11 games

* LSU has played eight of its last nine games OVER the total

* LSU has covered two of its last seven home games

The intrigue here lies in the fact that both of these teams won national titles last season. LSU, of course, glided to a 38-24 Sugar Bowl win over Ohio State to win the BCS championship in Division 1-A ball. Appalachian State won the FCS (formerly Division 1-AA) title for the third straight year under coach Jerry Moore, after pulling off one of the more storied upsets in history in the season opener.

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When they traveled to Ann Arbor last September 1 to face the Michigan Wolverines, the Mountaineers, despite their small-college superiority, were little more than an afterthought, considering Michigan was being touted as a possible national title contender. But they were in for the shock of their lives. AppState took a two-touchdown lead in the second quarter, then survived a furious comeback which saw Michigan go ahead with 4:36 left. They drive down the field for the winning field goal with 26 seconds left, and blocked a Michigan field goal attempt as time ran out.

What kind of spoiled it for ASU was a couple of regular season losses to Wofford and Georgia Southern. Otherwise they may have ended the season ranked in both major polls, which would have been an unprecedented feat for an FCS team. As it was, they went on to win the FCS tournament. Appalachian State captured its last two games by 20 points or more, including a 49-21 romp over Delaware in the title match.

LSU lost some great leaders on both sides of the ball. Defensive tackle Glenn Dorsey, linebacker Ali Highsmith, safety Craig Steltz, wide receiver Early Doucet and fullback Jacob Hester are all ticketed for the NFL. And quarterback Matt Flynn graduated. The Tigers would have been set at quarterback, except for the fact that junior Ryan Perrilloux, the former USA Today high school offensive player of the year who was the MVP of the SEC title game, was kicked off the team. That leaves a huge hole at QB, and something Coach Les Miles has had to adjust to on the run. Jerrett Lee or Harvard transfer Andrew Hatch will be at the controls.

Appalachian State may be in better shape than LSU at the quarterback position. The Mountaineers are led on the field by the fantastic Armanti Edwards, who was 17-23 with three TD's in the Michigan game and threw for 17 TD's with seven picks on the season. However, ASU's biggest personnel loss may have been even more devastating than LSU's departures, since they don't have the depth in talent the Tigers possess. Running back Kevin Richardson gained over 6000 combined rushing-receiving yards in his four years at AppState, and replacing this do-everything offensive threat will not be easy.



Miles can look forward to 12 starters returning for his tam - seven on offense and five on defense. With the kind of talent he still as, which includes up to a dozen all-conference performers, his team will again be in the national title mix if a couple of bounces go its way. Perhaps the most important consideration here is that nobody is going to be sneaking up on anybody. After their win at Ann Arbor, the chances are virtually nil that anyone will be taking ASU lightly, and so with LSU focused, maybe they have a chance to make Appalachian State look more like the team that has put together a 7-36-1 record against major college teams in the last 30 years (six of those wins over Wake Forest) and less like the team who was the talk of the sports world for weeks last September.

We'll take the LSU Tigers and lay the 23 points in the BetUS NCAA football future betting odds,

JAY'S PLAY: LSU -23




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by BetUS at 1800-sports.com on August 29, 2008


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