Thursday Nascar Report

Kenseth favored over Harvick Sometimes, you can't win for losing.

Kevin Harvick just can't seem to get any respect - not even after his victory at last week's Sylvania 300 in Loudon. That's two wins in a row for Harvick and three out of six; he now sits atop the Chase for the Nextel Cup standings. But Harvick is not the top man on the odds list for this week's event, the MBNA RacePoints 400 at Dover International Speedway. That would be Matt Kenseth at +600. Harvick is pegged at +800 alongside non-Chaser Tony Stewart.

The 2006 Cup season has been a struggle at times for Harvick. He failed to pilot his No. 29 Richard Childress Racing Chevy into the Top 10 in each of his first four points events, taking the lead for a grand total of one lap during that span. But business picked up substantially for Harvick after finishing second at the Food City 500. Now the pride of Bakersfield is the hottest driver on the circuit; nobody has collected more points over the past 10 Cup races. Harvick is also in excellent position to win the Busch Series and become the first driver in nearly 60 years to win NASCAR's top two divisions.

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Yet it's Kenseth who will carry the shortest odds into Dover. He would be in first place right now if pre-Chase rules were still in effect, and it was Kenseth who won the first race of the season at Dover, the Neighborhood Excellence 400 (also sponsored by MBNA). Harvick placed third at that event behind Kenseth's Roush Racing teammate, Jamie McMurray (+2100 this week).

That was the best finish at Dover for all three drivers in their respective Cup careers. It could also be a harbinger of this Sunday's results. The Dover track has produced seven season sweeps since 1988, including Stewart in 2000, Jimmie Johnson in 2002 and Ryan Newman in 2003. A car that performs well at Dover in June is likely to repeat that success in September; based on that logic, McMurray could be a tasty long shot. In an otherwise forgettable first year with Roush Racing, McMurray led June's race for 95 laps, more than any other driver. But if he found himself out front this week, would he ease off the pedal and allow Kenseth to strengthen his Chase position?

The action gets underway at 1:10 p.m. Eastern Time.

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by BetBet at 1800-sports.com on September 21, 2006


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