MLB Betting: It's 'Over' in San Diego Tonight
by Robby MadduxTonight, the Houston Astros attempt to take Game 2 of the three game series, following a 1-0 win last night over the NL West-leading San Diego Padres at Petco Park.
Brad Backe (1-1, 5.82 ERA) takes the ball for the Astros. This will be Backe's third start for Houston since coming off the DL on July 22nd. He's 0-1 with a high 9.00 ERA in the first two outings. He's definitely prone to giving up big innings that will push the total over.
Also, when invading the left coast, Houston finds a way to get involved in high-scoring games. Over is 5-2 in the Astros' last 7 vs. National League West teams.
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BET ON FOOTBALL! Deposit $300 and get $100 in Bonuses!San Diego will send veteran starter Woody Williams (4-2, 3.69 ERA) to the mound Wednesday. Williams is 0-1 with a 5.50 ERA over his last three outings. The right-hander is 10-5 with a 4.01 ERA in 19 career starts against the Astros.
These numbers indicate Williams has the potential to yield sufficient runs. Over is 3-0 in Williams' last 3 starts vs. Astros. As well, the over is 8-2 in Padres last 10 games as a home favorite.
Even if the Padres start the ninth inning with a save opportunity, Houston can still add on runs to the total. Padres closer Trevor Hoffman is 4-for-7 in save chances with a 11.12 ERA since the All-Star break.
The Padres manufactured just 5 hits in last night's defeat. Any time a good hitting team is shut down and blanked, I like the chances of an offensive outburst the following game.
More Notable trends supporting the over:
- Over is 4-1 in Backe's last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0-0 in Padres last 5 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150.
- Over is 5-1-0 in Padres last 6 home games with the total set at 7-8.5.
- Over is 9-2-0 in Padres last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
For MLB odds click here. ---
by BetUSradio at
1800-sports.com on August 02, 2006
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