NFL Gambling Lines

Pro Football Lines

When it comes to NFL gambling lines, it has been said that as long as you win more than fifty percent of your wagers, you'll be out ahead. Theoretically you could toss a coin and make that percentage, but as we all know, it is not that simple. There are ways to make sure you make that percentage when wagering on NFL gambling lines. The most important lesson to learn is beating the numbers.

When you are betting football spreads, you need to win 52.3 percent of your bets in order to break even. The way to do this is to shop around for the best line available. If you have an account with only one sportsbook, you have no choice but to bet the line offered. By using more than one, you can shop and compare the lines and wager on the one that gives you the best opportunity to win your bet. If one NFL gambling line offers you 36 and one offers you 34, it is obvious that you should take the 34 line.

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There is an estimated 4 percent greater chance of winning your bet with every extra point you get. This is especially important with smaller numbers. The difference between 3 and 3.5 is going to make a bigger difference than 21 and 21.5.

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Another major factor in beating the numbers with NFL gambling lines is timing. If you are researching your team and you like their chances at 8, later in the day, it is possible that the line goes up later in the day to 9.5, for example. If you made your wager later in the day and locked in a higher number than you would have earlier in the day, you may pick a winner but still lose based on the later football betting line. Pay close attention to the opening lines and watch how the move for a while before making any plays. If the line opens at -6 and moves to -5.5, then you know that the sportsbooks are getting good action on the underdog. You might be better off waiting till later in the day when the spread goes down further.

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There are a couple of guidelines to follow. For the most part, the public picks the favorites and over so the line tends to move in that direction. A good rule of thumb with NFL gambling lines is to play favorites and overs early on and then play underdogs and unders later.

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by Mike Jones at 1800-sports.com on September 21, 2006


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