NFL Betting Quarterback Odds: Most Passing Yards Leaders

Sportsbook.com opened a slew of NFL prop bets this past week and will open up even more next week. Who do you think will lead the NFL in passing, rushing or receiving this season?

We spoke with our good friends at Statfox to get their thoughts; here is how it went:

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What NFL quarterback is best bet to throw for most yards?

Statfox: Drew Brees led this category in 2008 and is favored again at +250. It's hard to go away from Brees since his coach Sean Payton is essentially the new Mike Martz. Payton loves to throw the ball and has excellent understanding of Brees' strengths and weakness. This is helped by Brees believing in Payton and digesting the offense smartly and playing within his own capabilities. Let's not forget, the former Purdue QB threw for over 5,000 yards (last season) and that was with Marques Colston and Reggie Bush out for long periods. Brees is not a lock to win this wager, as he is coming off career numbers and faces tougher opposition in 2009.

Tom Brady (+450) will be on a mission after last season. Our Boston contacts tell me he is on-target and even more focused, realizing football is a privilege. Don't expect Brady to play like he did the first half of 2007, nobody ever had before him. There is definitely good value in Brady, especially considering he should only have three cold weather games (weeks 14-16).


What about the other contenders?

Statfox: Peyton Manning makes sense, but some reports coming out of Colts camp are disconcerning. Definitely a contender at +700, yet leery. Save your cash on Kurt Warner at +700. He's been complaining about his hip giving him trouble and will see very little time in the preseason. The passing game has to have timing and though Warner is familiar with Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Bolden, he suffers early which takes him out of the running. There is definitely value in both Aaron Rodgers and Philip Rivers at +1000. Green Bay has a rather soft early schedule and Rodgers could pad stats like his predecessor. The Packers O-Line is being rebuilt, but I like Rodgers' ability to throw on the run and hit big plays. Rivers is actually my favorite choice, but Norv Turner wants better balance and running game could return to San Diego.

My choices in order are Brady, Rodgers and Brees.




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by Sportsbook.com at 1800-sports.com on August 08, 2009


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