Racebook Betting - The Dry Run

By Brian Mulligan

One of the more underrated angles that horse bettors sometimes dismiss is the race over the track angle and in this day and age of new surfaces and switching from the conventional to a synthetic, it will play even more important to the race horse bettor as the meets change.

Back in the day, a race over the track took on a new light at small venues, Pomona, now Fairplex, comes to mind, where a runner will need to get used to the tight turns.

The same angle is always in use on turf courses, as some are tight like Del Mar, where horses for courses flourish, and some are wide like football fields, like the Belmont outer grass course.

Clever horse bettors have to zero in on and project mighty improvement for horses that get a recent run over a track, whether it is the old school track like Bay Meadows, the Cushion like Santa Anita, or the Polytrack like Turfway.

Just the other night, players that paid attention to the race over the strip got fat at Turfway.

The horse is named Sweet Breeze and sweet she was as she came 6 wide as the second longest shot on the board and paid $52.20 to those that took a shot.

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The mare had kicked off her Turfway experience with a press and fade 5th earlier in the month, she had exited a live race in the 2008 debut, and was dismissed probably more because of her connections then her last race in which she was only beaten 4 lengths.

To prove to skeptic horse bettors that this was not an isolated incident, you only had to look to 3 races later when Wild Brat upset the favorite after getting a feel of the Polytrack. The price was only 2-1, but it was something to build on in the horizontal gimmicks at least.

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Go to the other side of the world, or at least the country, and Santa Anita comes into play.

Everybody in the game knows by now that the Arcadia track has had a horrible time between the Cushion, which will be removed at the end of the meet, and the Pro-Ride additive that was spread on the track a few weeks ago.

Still, the race over the track and the successful dry run was in full force in the 4th with a horse known as Paroxysm.

The gelding was marooned in post 11 in his sprint debut but yet he still almost beat half the field home. He had trained well since, posted a nice gate drill since, and was sent a bit shorter in his second start under the same hustling bug Mr. Campos.

The soph got kind of a break to be fair, the pace was contested, and he came from second to last to win going away at a fat 11-1.

Cagey horse bettors have to follow this angle as the season progresses. They will be going from Anita to a different kind of Cushion at Hollypark soon and in the spring, Keeneland and Turfway shippers could show in New York.

Expect improvement, after horses get that important dry run out of the way.




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by BetUS at 1800-sports.com on March 14, 2008


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