UFC MMA Betting - UFC 83 - Revenge or Repeat?

By Charles Jay

BetUS Sportsbook's mixed martial arts customers will have another opportunity to "go to town" on Saturday, April 19, when UFC 83 takes place at the Bell Centre in Montreal, and headlining the show is a rematch that has been long-awaited, as Georges St. Pierre tries to avenge one of the bigger upsets in the recent history of the UFC against Matt Serra, who is once again an underdog. We have some words on that fight, along with some of the other featured bouts:


BetUS UFC Betting Odds -- UFC 83, Montreal

GEORGES ST. PIERRE -500

MATT SERRA +350

OVER 1.5 ROUNDS -150

UNDER 1.5 ROUNDS +110


Elsewhere in the BetUS Locker Room I offered my opinion on this fight which essentially is that Serra can go past the over/under point in this fight, which is midway through the second round. It would seem clear that St. Pierre is a better all-around fighter, but a word of caution, because two things that are just as important as talent are confidence, which works into psychological factors, and styles. By styles, I mean that styles make fights. And maybe Serra simply has a style that is troublesome for St. Pierre to handle. Also, and something that is extremely important, Serra knows he can knock out GSP, and GSP knows he's been knocked out by this guy, and somewhere in the back of his mind, he is wondering if it can happen again.

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BetUS UFC Betting Odds -- UFC 83, Montreal

RICH FRANKLIN -400

TRAVIS LUTTER +300

OVER 1.5 ROUNDS -170

UNDER 1.5 ROUNDS +130


Here, I guess, the question becomes how much Franklin has left and can he impose his will on Lutter, who is looking to take him right to the ground. Of course, having a couple of losses to Anderson Silva is no reason to write a guy off, and those have been Franklin's only setbacks for a while. Is Lutter stepping up too much in class? Well, ironically, Lutter went longer with Silva (2:11 of the second round) than Franklin did in either of his two title fights with the Brazilian (Lutter couldn't make weight for the championship opportunity he got by virtue of winning The Ultimate Fighter 4 title). I don't know how long this one is going to go, but Franklin's experience edge is too huge to look the other way. And for Lutter, fourteen months of inactivity (he had a neck injury) is not going to be any help at all. Somewhere along the line he'll make a mistake and Franklin will end it. But when? Here's the thing - Lutter is tough and can make things last. If he went seven minutes with Silva, he can take Franklin a few rounds, unless he crumbles from a couple of punches. OVER 1.5 RDS. -170





BetUS UFC Betting Odds -- UFC 83, Montreal

NATE QUARRY -280

KALIB STARNES +200

OVER 1.5 ROUNDS -140

UNDER 1.5 ROUNDS +100


I'm going to move with the underdog here. Perhaps having countrymen in the seats will help him (though Starnes is from British Columbia, he is, after all a Canadian, and there will be a rooting interest). Starnes has taken a lot of punishment in his brief UFC career. Let's see - he had those dislocated ribs in TUF, he had a cut that was so bad against Alan Belcher that the referee said he could see his skull. Ugh. But he's getting better as a striker, and there have been questions about Quarry's chin. Let's take a shot. STARNES +200


BetUS UFC Betting Odds -- UFC 83, Montreal

MICHAEL BISPING -300

CHARLES McCARTHY +230

OVER 1.5 ROUNDS -160

UNDER 1.5 ROUNDS +120


It's no shame to lose to Rashard Evans, who is going to be a contender at light heavyweight, and that was Bisping's only defeat thus far as a mixed martial artist. He figures he'll be more comfortable in the middleweight division, so he moved down to 185 pounds. Bisping has the jiu-jitsu background, but is going to hold a big advantage in terms of striking here. The only question is whether McCarthy, who has 10 submissions to his credit, is going to be able to get him to the ground and grapple with him. I see McCarthy as more of a trial-horse, and it appears the UFC is moving more in the direction of what we refer to in boxing as the "red corner, blue corner" thing; in other words, there is one fighter who is designed to win and advance, with the other being the "opponent" type. BISPING -300


BetUS UFC Betting Odds -- UFC 83, Montreal

MAC DANZIG -500

MARK BOCEK +350

OVER 1.5 ROUNDS -150

UNDER 1.5 ROUNDS +110


Danzig is the better all-around fighter - a pretty good grappler who can also knock people out with his stand-up game. He's got some experience and accomplishment behind him, including the King of the Cage title at lightweight, which he held for a little over a year, as well as TUF 6. Bocek, more of a jiu-jitsu specialist, isn't nearly as experienced, and is a lot less sure of himself in stand-up mode. I would expect him to take things right to the ground if he possibly can. That may extend the fight. Danzig may very well hold his own and more when they get there, but with Canadians in the audience, I do not expect Bocek to go down easily. OVER 1.5 ROUNDS -150




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by BetUS at 1800-sports.com on April 16, 2008


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